Here we go. This one is from TIA on the DU
It says it all. It's a keeper, folks. LONG AFTER THE POLLS CLOSED. THIS IS THE SMOKING GUN. EASY TO UNDERSTAND. CLEAR. UNAMBIGUOUS. THIS WILL BECOME THE MOST FAMOUS EXIT POLL IN HISTORY. IT WILL EDUCATE MILLIONS WHO NEVER KNEW ABOUT EXIT POLLS. IT WILL ASTOUND MILLIONS WHO KNEW ALL ABOUT THEM. IT IS THE TRUTH. 13,047 RANDOMLY-SELECTED VOTERS 1.0% MARGIN OF ERROR KERRY WON THE FEMALE VOTE BY A HIGHER PERCENTAGE THAN BUSH WON THE MALE VOTE. ******* AND MORE WOMEN (54%) VOTED THAN MEN (46%) ********* Kerry = .54*.54+ .47*.46 = 50.78% Bush = .45*.54+ .52*.46 = 48.22% YOU DON'T HAVE TO BE A ROCKET SCIENTIST. IT'S SIMPLE ARITHMETIC. IT'S 1 IN 547 MILLION ODDS THAT BUSH WOULD GET 51.23% OF THE VOTE. [AND NOTE THAT KERRY WON INDEPENDENTS 52-44; KERRY WON MODERATES 57-42; KERRY GOT HIGHER MARGIN AMONG LIBERALS, 86-12, THAN BUSH GOT AMONG CONSERVATIVES, 82-17. AND NOTE THAT KERRY GOT HIGHER MARGIN AMONG AGES 45-59, 51-47%, WHO CONSTITUTED 30% OF THE ELECTORATE, THAN BUSH DID AMONG AGES 30-44, 49-48%, WHO WERE 28% OF THE ELECTORATE; AND KERRY GOT 56-42% AMONG AGES 18-29, WHO WERE 17% OF THE ELECTORATE. BY REGIONS, KERRY WON 3 OF THE 4 REGIONS, CONSTITUTING 68% OF THE VOTERS, WHILE BUSH CARRIED 1 REGION CONSTITUTING 31% OF THE VOTERS. ALSO NOTE THAT THE 17% OF THE ELECTORATE WHO DID NOT VOTE IN 2000 DECISIVELY FAVORED KERRY 57-41%. ALL THESE VARIOUS DEMOGRAPHIC PERSPECTIVES, INCLUDING THE VOTE BY GENDER, CROSS-REFERENCE EACH OTHER TO DEMONSTRATE A CLEAR KERRY VICTORY.][THE POINT HERE IS NOT TO CRY OVER SPILT MILK OR DWELL ON THE PAST. THE POINT IS TO KNOW REALITY, TO KNOW HOW BADLY THE CONSTITUTION IS IN JEOPARDY, TO KNOW WHAT WE ARE DEALING WITH. YOU CAN'T INTELLIGENTLY PLAN STRATEGIES FOR THE FUTURE UNLESS YOU KNOW WHERE YOU ARE AND WHAT YOU ARE DEALING WITH.]
